Likelihood and Independent Events: a week of ready-to-teach maths
Five days of lessons for Year 4 Probability. Print this pack and the week is prepared.
Start here: five minutes to Monday
- Skim the week at a glance.
- Print the five days (plan + worksheet each).
- Cut out the card sheet once.
- Open the free interactive unit on your board.
- Teach from the plan.
The week at a glance
One lesson a day. Run them in order where you can.
| Day | Lesson | Children learn and do | On screen |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The chance scale | Practise the idea with talk, board and worksheet | Board: The chance scale |
| 2 | Ordering by likelihood | Practise the idea with talk, board and worksheet | Board: Ordering by likelihood |
| 3 | Possible outcomes | Practise the idea with talk, board and worksheet | Board: Possible outcomes |
| 4 | Independent events | Practise the idea with talk, board and worksheet | Board: Independent events |
| 5 | Dependent events | Practise the idea with talk, board and worksheet | Board: Dependent events |
Materials
- This pack printed.
- Pencils and the board or projector.
- Optional counters or rulers if a day plan names them.
A note home
This week in maths we work on likelihood and independent events. Ask: What did you practise today?
seegongsik.com/au/y4/probability/AC9M4P01/pack
The chance scale
Children practise “The chance scale” with talk, the board picture, and a short worksheet. About 40 minutes.
We are learning to
- explain the chance scale in Year 4 words,
- use the board picture to check thinking,
- record an example on paper.
Success criteria
- I can show one example of today’s idea.
- I can say the idea in a short sentence.
You need
- interactive unit open on “The chance scale”,
- worksheet (next sheet), one per child,
Lesson flow (about 40 minutes)
| 5 min | Warm-up Ask: “What might help us today?” |
| 10 min | On the board Open “The chance scale”. Ask: “What changed on the screen?” |
| 15 min | Worksheet Children complete the day sheet. |
| 10 min | Share Ask: “In one sentence, what was today’s idea?” |
Watch for
- Skipping the board -- bring them back to the picture.
- Correct answer with no explanation -- ask how do you know?
Answers and look-fors
- Meeting the idea sounds like a clear sentence about the chance scale.
The chance scale
Use the board picture. Show your thinking.
Ordering by likelihood
Children practise “Ordering by likelihood” with talk, the board picture, and a short worksheet. About 40 minutes.
We are learning to
- explain ordering by likelihood in Year 4 words,
- use the board picture to check thinking,
- record an example on paper.
Success criteria
- I can show one example of today’s idea.
- I can say the idea in a short sentence.
You need
- interactive unit open on “Ordering by likelihood”,
- worksheet (next sheet), one per child,
Lesson flow (about 40 minutes)
| 5 min | Warm-up Ask: “What might help us today?” |
| 10 min | On the board Open “Ordering by likelihood”. Ask: “What changed on the screen?” |
| 15 min | Worksheet Children complete the day sheet. |
| 10 min | Share Ask: “In one sentence, what was today’s idea?” |
Watch for
- Skipping the board -- bring them back to the picture.
- Correct answer with no explanation -- ask how do you know?
Answers and look-fors
- Meeting the idea sounds like a clear sentence about ordering by likelihood.
Ordering by likelihood
Use the board picture. Show your thinking.
Possible outcomes
Children practise “Possible outcomes” with talk, the board picture, and a short worksheet. About 40 minutes.
We are learning to
- explain possible outcomes in Year 4 words,
- use the board picture to check thinking,
- record an example on paper.
Success criteria
- I can show one example of today’s idea.
- I can say the idea in a short sentence.
You need
- interactive unit open on “Possible outcomes”,
- worksheet (next sheet), one per child,
Lesson flow (about 40 minutes)
| 5 min | Warm-up Ask: “What might help us today?” |
| 10 min | On the board Open “Possible outcomes”. Ask: “What changed on the screen?” |
| 15 min | Worksheet Children complete the day sheet. |
| 10 min | Share Ask: “In one sentence, what was today’s idea?” |
Watch for
- Skipping the board -- bring them back to the picture.
- Correct answer with no explanation -- ask how do you know?
Answers and look-fors
- Meeting the idea sounds like a clear sentence about possible outcomes.
Possible outcomes
Use the board picture. Show your thinking.
Independent events
Children practise “Independent events” with talk, the board picture, and a short worksheet. About 40 minutes.
We are learning to
- explain independent events in Year 4 words,
- use the board picture to check thinking,
- record an example on paper.
Success criteria
- I can show one example of today’s idea.
- I can say the idea in a short sentence.
You need
- interactive unit open on “Independent events”,
- worksheet (next sheet), one per child,
Lesson flow (about 40 minutes)
| 5 min | Warm-up Ask: “What might help us today?” |
| 10 min | On the board Open “Independent events”. Ask: “What changed on the screen?” |
| 15 min | Worksheet Children complete the day sheet. |
| 10 min | Share Ask: “In one sentence, what was today’s idea?” |
Watch for
- Skipping the board -- bring them back to the picture.
- Correct answer with no explanation -- ask how do you know?
Answers and look-fors
- Meeting the idea sounds like a clear sentence about independent events.
Independent events
Use the board picture. Show your thinking.
Dependent events
Children practise “Dependent events” with talk, the board picture, and a short worksheet. About 40 minutes.
We are learning to
- explain dependent events in Year 4 words,
- use the board picture to check thinking,
- record an example on paper.
Success criteria
- I can show one example of today’s idea.
- I can say the idea in a short sentence.
You need
- interactive unit open on “Dependent events”,
- worksheet (next sheet), one per child,
Lesson flow (about 40 minutes)
| 5 min | Warm-up Ask: “What might help us today?” |
| 10 min | On the board Open “Dependent events”. Ask: “What changed on the screen?” |
| 15 min | Worksheet Children complete the day sheet. |
| 10 min | Share Ask: “In one sentence, what was today’s idea?” |
Watch for
- Skipping the board -- bring them back to the picture.
- Correct answer with no explanation -- ask how do you know?
Answers and look-fors
- Meeting the idea sounds like a clear sentence about dependent events.
Dependent events
Use the board picture. Show your thinking.
Talk cards for Likelihood and Independent Events
Cut out. Hold up a card and give an example.
Give an example.
Give an example.
Give an example.
Give an example.
Give an example.
Store in an envelope labelled AC9M4P01.
Show what you know: Likelihood and Independent Events
Work on your own. Use pictures or numbers.
Answers and look-fors
- Item 1 names the unit idea (likelihood and independent events) in child words.
- Items 2-3: two different correct examples.
- Item 4: a real muddle for this topic.
Use day-plan look-fors across the week.